Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 15

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Poblense		Alaior

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.6	7.5
	1.28	5	9
	1.31	4.88	9.23
	1.27	4.89	9.23
	1.29	4.85	8.3
	1.28	5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.44)	4.87 ↑ (4.05)	8.71 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Poblense
70.8%

Draw
18.7%

Alaior
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.4%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22.1%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poblense's performance.

Alaior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poblense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alaior than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Alaior could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Poblense is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
16.12.23	Portmany - Poblense	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Poblense - Mallorca B	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Poblense - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:2 ✺
18.11.23	Constancia - Poblense	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Poblense - Collerense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLWT
- CE Alaior
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
02.12.23	Collerense - Alaior	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Alaior - Arenal	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Binissalem - Alaior	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Alaior - Inter Manacor	3:1 ✺
29.10.23	Alaior - Felanitx	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.10.26	Poblense - Castellon B	✺

Poblense - Alaior: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide