Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Constancia		Poblense

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	3.15	3.05	2.21
	3.14	3.14	2.22	Watch
	3.21	2.95	2.23
	3.15	3.05	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (1.93)	3.06 ↓ (3.4)	2.47 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Constancia
31.9%

Draw
30.4%

Poblense
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

25.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Constancia's form might have worsened.

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poblense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Constancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poblense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Constancia - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Martinez D. ⚽,
83', 0 - 3, Pons A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Constancia won 0.

Constancia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Poblense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Constancia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Constancia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:15 (average 0.6:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Constancia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constancia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.03.25	Constancia - Collerense	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Mercadal - Constancia	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Constancia - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Platges de Calvià - Constancia	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Llosetense - Constancia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWTW
- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
23.03.25	Porreres - Poblense	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Poblense - Binissalem	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Portmany - Poblense	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Poblense - Manacor	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Migjorn - Poblense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.11.24	Poblense - Constancia	1:1
04.04.24	Poblense - Constancia	3:0
18.11.23	Constancia - Poblense	0:1
02.04.23	Poblense - Constancia	1:0
03.12.22	Constancia - Poblense	1:1
16.01.22	Constancia - Poblense	0:3
18.09.21	Poblense - Constancia	1:1

Upcoming Matches