Match Info

Date: 4 April 2021, Sunday


	Poblense		Villarrubia

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.7	3.6
	2.1	2.75	3.6
	2.08	2.9	3.5
	2.14	3	4.08
	2.06	3.13	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.5)	2.9 ↑ (2.7)	3.68 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poblense
43.6%

Draw
31.6%

Villarrubia
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

33.1%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

24%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poblense's performance.

Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarrubia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poblense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarrubia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Poblense - Villarrubia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Poblense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.03.21	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Poblense	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	Poblense - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Poblense - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Poblense	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Poblense - Rayo Majadahonda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTTTL
- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.03.21	Villarrubia - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
14.03.21	Talavera de la Reina - Villarrubia	3:0 ✺
07.03.21	Socuéllamos - Villarrubia	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Villarrubia - Villarrobledo	1:1 ✺
17.02.21	Mérida AD - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLTT

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