Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Arena Lublin (Lublin)

Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)


	Motor Lublin		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	3
	2.35	3.1	2.85
	2.4	3.1	3
	2.42	3.2	3.18
	2.42	3.11	3.18
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.35	3.08	3.05	Watch
	2.3	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.25)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	3 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
39.1%

Draw
30%

Górnik Łęczna
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Motor Lublin - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rosa K. (G) 17. Wojcik F. 18. Najemski A. 74. Kruk K. 24. Luberecki F. 22. Wojtkowski K. 37. Scalet M. 68. Wolski B. 26. Krol M. 90. Mraz S. 77. Ceglarz P. (C)	33. Gostomski M. (C) 25. Zbozien D. 4. Klemenz L. 6. De Amo J. 7. Durmus I. 16. Zyra P. 17. Lukasiak K. 21. Bednarczyk J. 20. Mlynski M. 10. Deja A. 95. Roginic M.
Substitutes
53. Budzilek L. (G) 55. Gasior M. 73. Lis J. 30. Ndiaye M. J. 47. Palacz K. 21. Rudol S. 7. Rybicki M. 28. Stolarski P. 19. Welniak K.	30. Cisse S. 29. Dziwniel D. 77. Gaska D. 11. Janaszek F. 5. Pawlik M. 9. Podlinski K. 19. Starzynski P. 52. Warchol D. 12. Wozniak T. (G)
Coaches
Stolarski M.	Stano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Ceglarz P. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mlynski M. ↓, Podlinski K. ↑,
46', Durmus I. 🟨,
62', Zyra P. ↓, Gaska D. ↑,
62', Durmus I. ↓, Dziwniel D. ↑,
67', Najemski A. ↓, Rudol S. ↑,
68', Dziwniel D. 🟨,
77', Wojtkowski K. ↓, Ndiaye M. J. ↑,
84', Zbozien D. ↓, Cisse S. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Scalet M. ↓, Gasior M. ↑,
91', Wojcik F. ↓, Stolarski P. ↑,
94', Luberecki F. 🟨,
106', Krol M. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
107', Roginic M. 🟨,
110', Roginic M. ↓, Warchol D. ↑,
119', Klemenz L. 🟨,
120', Gasior M. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Wolski B. (Pen),
1, Cisse S. (Pen),
2, Mraz S. (Pen),
2, Deja A. (Pen),
3, Gasior M. (Pen),
3, Gaska D. (Pen),
4, Rudol S. (Pen),
4, Dziwniel D. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Motor won 0.

Motor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Górnik Łęczna is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Motor won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Motor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
26.05.24	Motor Lublin - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
17.05.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Motor Lublin	1:3 ✺
10.05.24	Motor Lublin - Znicz Pruszków	3:3 ✺
05.05.24	Wisła Płock - Motor Lublin	1:0 ✺
29.04.24	Odra Opole - Motor Lublin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTLW
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
26.05.24	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
12.05.24	Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Górnik Łęczna - Odra Opole	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
03.03.24	Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin	1:1
19.08.23	Motor Lublin - Górnik Łęczna	0:1
Club Friendly
03.02.23	Motor Lublin - Górnik Łęczna	0:3
09.07.22	Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin	1:1
30.01.22	Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin	Canceled
22.01.20	Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin	2:2
12.07.17	Motor Lublin - Górnik Łęczna	4:2

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