Match Info

Division 2 - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Nowy Targ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Sandecja Nowy Sącz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.10	2.50
	2.48	3.25	2.40
	2.67	3.30	2.61
	3.24	3.33	2.17	Watch
	2.50	3.25	2.55
	2.54	3.43	2.60	Watch
	2.43	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.52)	3.26 ↓ (3.35)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
35%

Draw
28.1%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.9%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Fratczak D. (G) 56. Baniowski F. 11. Kubik T. 29. Marcinho 6. Mikolajczyk B. 10. Nowak A. 2. Salak K. 7. Seweryn L. 4. Sewerys R. 17. Surzyn M. 21. Vosko P.	1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 29. Brenkus A. 8. Gerstenstein L. 9. Holan D. 76. Kielis P. 7. Kolar M. 26. Kowalik P. 98. Ogorzaly K. 3. Plesnierowicz W. (C) 17. Plocica M. 6. Zurawski M.
Substitutes
28. Brod A. 41. Gozdecki N. 77. Koltanski D. 42. Lipien M. 23. Rachwal R. 16. Rubis J. 14. Sobczak S. 1. Styrczula M. (G) 61. Talar K.	47. Blyszko W. 23. Danek A. 12. Divis T. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 10. Goku Roman 11. Kawala S. 19. Kolbon T. 20. Kosinski E. 25. Piszczek F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Marcinho ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Seweryn L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Nowak A. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Seweryn L. ⚽,
59', Baniowski F. ↓, Gozdecki N. ↑,
60', Kubik T. ↓, Lipien M. ↑,
63', Zurawski M. ↓, Goku Roman ↑,
69', Marcinho ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
69', Seweryn L. ↓, Talar K. ↑,
72', Kolar M. ↓, Divis T. ↑,
72', Holan D. ↓, Kolbon T. ↑,
79', Brenkus A. ↓, Piszczek F. ↑,
79', Kielis P. ↓, Kawala S. ↑,
84', Kolbon T. 🟨,
85', Piszczek F. 🟨,
85', Surzyn M. ↓, Koltanski D. ↑,
88', Plesnierowicz W. 🟨,
90', Plocica M. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sandecja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sandecja has had a series of away games.

Sandecja might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Podhale won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Podhale won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Sandecja Nowy S.: 6.52% Podhale Nowy Targ: 3.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	10	5	2	3	20:18	2	17

Last Results with these Odds

Podhale Nowy Targ - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.87%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
29.08.26	Olimpia Grudziądz - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Resovia Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Górnik Łęczna - Podhale Nowy Targ	5:2 ✺
08.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Hutnik	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTLL
- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
28.08.26	Resovia Rzeszów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Swit Skolwin - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Avia Świdnik - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
03.05.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0
18.10.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:1
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.04.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:1
29.09.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1

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