Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 34

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Poggibonsi		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.35
	2.7	3.35	2.25
	2.67	3.33	2.29
	2.72	3.44	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.16)	3.34 ↓ (3.44)	2.31 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poggibonsi
33.9%

Draw
27%

Arezzo
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

26.2%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

25.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poggibonsi's form might have worsened.

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arezzo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poggibonsi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arezzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Poggibonsi - Arezzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Poggibonsi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arezzo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Poggibonsi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Poggibonsi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.04.23	Tau Altopascio - Poggibonsi	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Poggibonsi - Livorno	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Ostia Mare - Poggibonsi	0:1 ✺
06.04.23	Poggibonsi - Mobilieri Ponsacco	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Montespaccato - Poggibonsi	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWTW
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.04.23	Arezzo - Trestina	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Tau Altopascio - Arezzo	5:0 ✺
16.04.23	Arezzo - Pianese	3:1 ✺
06.04.23	Arezzo - Ostia Mare	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Grosseto - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
21.12.22	Arezzo - Poggibonsi	2:1
10.04.22	Arezzo - Poggibonsi	2:1
28.11.21	Poggibonsi - Arezzo	4:0

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