The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arezzo 66.4%
Draw 22.7%
Pianese 10.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.9%
22.6%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.6%
21.4%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Arezzo - Pianese Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.5 - Arezzo (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arezzo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 4. Coppolaro M. 13. Gilli M. 19. Chiosa M. 37. Righetti S. 24. Chierico L. 7. Guccione F. 17. Ionita A. 10. Pattarello E. 91. Ravasio M. 21. Tavernelli C.
1. Filippis E. (G) 6. Amey W. 15. Gorelli M. 13. Ercolani L. 16. Chesti F. 8. Simeoni L. (C) 30. Proietto F. 33. Coccia L. 21. Tirelli M. 14. Sodero A. 29. Fabrizi L.
Substitutes
30. Arena A. 5. Casarosa M. 71. Cianci P. 72. Cortesi M. 26. De Col F. 77. Di Chiara G. 8. Eklu S. M. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 78. Iaccarino G. 45. Perrotta F. 6. Renzi A. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M.
5. Balde M. 31. Bigiarini D. 4. Colombo M. 10. Ianesi S. 47. Jasharovski A. 77. Martey C. 70. Nicastro M. 9. Ongaro E. 7. Peli L. 57. Porciatti F. (G) 24. Reali A. (G) 25. Spinosa L. 71. Xhani K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Pattarello E. ⚽,
32', Coppolaro M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Coppolaro M. ↓, De Col F. ↑,
59', Ravasio M. 🟨,
64', Ravasio M. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
64', Chierico L. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
69', Proietto F. ↓, Colombo M. ↑,
73', Ionita A. ↓, Cortesi M. ↑,
74', Filippis E. 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Cianci P. ⚽,
81', Tavernelli C. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
82', Sodero A. ↓, Martey C. ↑,
82', Simeoni L. ↓, Ianesi S. ↑,
86', Ianesi S. 🟨,
90+1', Guccione F. 🟨,
90+1', Fabrizi L. ↓, Ongaro E. ↑,
90+1', Tirelli M. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 5.
Arezzo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Pianese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Pianese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Arezzo is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Arezzo will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).