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Current Win Probability
San Donato Tavarnelle 40.6%
Draw 30.3%
Poggibonsi 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
26.9%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
27.4%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Donato Tavarnelle's form might have worsened.
Poggibonsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poggibonsi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Donato Tavarnelle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poggibonsi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Donato Tavarnelle - Poggibonsi Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Donato (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Boriosi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', 🟥,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Donato won 3.
Recent form of San Donato has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Poggibonsi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
San Donato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Donato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Donato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
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