Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Wisła Puławy

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.4	4.75
	1.47	4.2	5.5
	1.48	4.33	6.06
	1.49	4.24	5.51	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5
	1.45	4.45	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)	4.29 ↑ (3.75)	5.4 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
62%

Draw
21.2%

Wisła Puławy
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

24.2%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's performance.

Wisła Puławy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Puławy than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wisła Puławy Predictions

Users Predictions: Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sydorenko D. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 5. Dias M. 16. Gajgier A. 10. Jaron D. (C) 13. Lis J. 21. Los K. 15. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 23. Sommerfeld K.	1. Szpaderski J. (G) 3. Galazka A. 9. Guzdek B. 6. Kabaj L. 11. Kargulewicz K. (C) 8. Kumoch K. 20. Piatek K. 17. Sledzicki R. 25. Stromecki M. 10. Wiktoruk B. 21. Zylla M.
Substitutes
19. Bahonko E. . Cierpial J. 24. Dziegielewski D. . Gulczynski G. 12. Kalinowski D. (G) 14. Karolak P. . Korczakowski I. 17. Niewiadomski J. 6. Skowronski G.	4. Kielkucki M. 15. Kozdron O. 5. Koziej S. 22. Luczuk F. 12. Murat K. (G) 18. Nassor M. 19. Szymanek K. 2. Walis P. 16. Zych J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Niski N. ⚽,
44', Stromecki M. 🟨,
45+2', Wiktoruk B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kumoch K. ↓, Walis P. ↑,
52', Dias M. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Piatek K. ⚽,

Preview

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Wisła Puławy is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wisła Puławy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
16.08.24	Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Swit Skolwin	4:1 ✺
02.08.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
28.07.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:1 ✺
20.07.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Bytom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWWWW
- Wisła Puławy
Polish Division 2
18.08.24	Wisła Puławy - Olimpia Elbląg	3:2 ✺
14.08.24	Wisła Puławy - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	5:1 ✺
11.08.24	Hutnik - Wisła Puławy	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Wisła Puławy	3:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
04.08.24	Wisła Puławy - KKS Kalisz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.06.22	Wisła Puławy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2
Polish Division 2
27.02.22	Wisła Puławy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	4:2
18.08.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wisła Puławy	0:2

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