Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)

Referee: Pskit P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Siedlce		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.25
	2.2	3.3	2.9
	2.15	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.21	3.45	3.39
	2.19	3.26	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.12	3.4	3.15	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.18)	3.38 ↓ (3.41)	3.17 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
43%

Draw
27.6%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

26%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Siedlce: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pruchniewski M. (G) 31. Dzieciol E. 14. Burka D. 55. Cassio 10. Pyrdol P. 43. Hrnciar L. 8. Sinior J. 2. Mis K. 7. Szuprytowski D. (C) 56. Demianiuk C. 99. Podlinski K.	88. Koziol M. (G) 7. Kosakiewicz L. (C) 66. Witasik P. 27. Welna T. 32. Rajsel N. 44. Lucas Ramos 80. Petrovic Z. 29. Bykowski M. 10. Cywinski M. 24. Oliveira F. 39. Jonathan Junior
Substitutes
97. Danielewicz K. 4. Drag M. 47. Krzyzak O. 11. Majewski M. 3. Majewski R. 12. Milasius T. 77. Pik D. 95. Topor E. (G) 17. Zinkevych O.	77. Bieganski A. 6. Kort K. 14. Kostevych V. 9. Kozlowski F. 70. Krekovic L. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 99. Trojnarski A. 17. Zietek L.
Coaches
Nocon A.	Tarasiewicz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Petrovic Z. ⚽, Krekovic L. (A),
42', Podlinski K. 🟨,
44', Pyrdol P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Pyrdol P. ↓, Pik D. ↑,
61', Hrnciar L. ↓, Drag M. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Podlinski K. ⚽, Mis K. (A),
83', Mis K. ↓, Milasius T. ↑,
83', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Majewski R. ↑,
87', Bykowski M. ↓, Zietek L. ↑,
88', Jonathan Junior ↓, Kozlowski F. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Podlinski K. (Pen),

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

Pogoń Siedlce could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
03.11.24	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Kraków	1:3 ✺
28.09.24	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL
- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
02.11.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Odra Opole	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
25.10.24	Chrobry Głogów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:2 ✺
19.10.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Ruch Chorzów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
05.04.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2
23.09.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:3
04.06.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1
29.10.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:0

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