Match Info

Division 1 - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)

Referee: Myszka M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Pogoń Siedlce		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.5	Watch
	5.5	4.25	1.5	Watch
	6.05	4.58	1.45
	5.8	4.05	1.47
	4.6	3.97	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.49 ↑ (4.6)	4.17 ↑ (3.97)	1.49 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
16.7%

Draw
22%

Wisła Kraków
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

22.5%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

21.7%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Wisła will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 4. Misiak P. 3. Dembek B. 6. Flis M. 14. Jakubik D. 10. Drag M. 31. Dzieciol E. 95. Zielonka N. 7. Szuprytowski D. (C) 11. Famulak M. 13. Podlinski K.	28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 34. Giger R. 97. Biedrzycki W. 29. Grujcic D. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 8. Carbo M. 12. Igbekeme J. 51. Kuziemka M. 7. Ertlthaler J. 10. Duarte F. 9. Rodado A. (C)
Substitutes
23. Danielewicz K. 56. Demianiuk C. 26. Kolodziejski M. 19. Kozlowski O. 29. Niezgoda J. 41. Pakulski D. 21. Stypulkowski S. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 27. Zbrog J.	56. Baniowski F. 17. Bozic M. 1. Broda K. (G) 5. Colley J. 41. Duda K. 50. Kutwa M. 26. Lasicki I. 11. Nikaj A. 20. Omic E.
Coaches
Nocon A.	Jop M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Misiak P. 🟨,
17', Jakubik D. 🟨,
24', Podlinski K. 🟨,
44', Zielonka N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Duarte F. 🟨,
62', Kuziemka M. ↓, Bozic M. ↑,
62', Igbekeme J. ↓, Duda K. ↑,
67', Biedrzycki W. 🟨,
69', Grujcic D. 🟨,
70', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Demianiuk C. ↑,
70', Zielonka N. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
80', Duarte F. ↓, Baniowski F. ↑,
80', Ertlthaler J. ↓, Nikaj A. ↑,
85', Famulak M. 🟨,
89', Podlinski K. ↓, Niezgoda J. ↑,
90+4', Carbo M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Pogoń Siedlce has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wisła is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wisła may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wisła is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
08.11.25	Stal Mielec - Pogoń Siedlce	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Pogoń Siedlce - ŁKS Łódź	3:1 ✺
17.10.25	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTWTL
- Wisła Kraków
Club Friendly
15.11.25	Odra Opole - Wisła Kraków	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
08.11.25	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Chrobry Głogów - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Hutnik - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
26.10.25	Wisła Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
19.04.25	Wisła Kraków - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0
05.10.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Kraków	1:3

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