Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)


	Pogoń Siedlce		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.3
	2	3.25	3.4
	2.1	2.94	3.93
	1.95	3.18	3.64	Watch
	2.1	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.15)	3.18 ↓ (3.35)	3.5 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
45.2%

Draw
28.7%

Skra Częstochowa
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.6%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Pogoń Siedlce - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burek J. (G) 56. Demianiuk C. 23. Derlatka H. 31. Dzieciol E. 43. Hrnciar L. 3. Majewski R. 4. Misiak P. 10. Mis K. 9. Nowak D. 16. Sinior J. 7. Szuprytowski D. (C)	1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 9. Grzelka F. 6. Labojko M. 4. Mesjasz A. 98. Nawrocki F. 16. Niedbala J. 7. Nocon P. 26. Olejnik A. 11. Winciersz M. 22. Wojciechowski Z. 21. Wypart O.
Substitutes
29. Babor D. 20. Bujalski C. 97. Kowynia J. (G) 21. Majewski M. 98. Myszkowski O. 26. Okusami J. 18. Pyrdol P. 99. Wicenciak B. 8. Wlodyka K.	5. Bartosiak M. 8. Ciucka J. 77. Kolodziejczyk P. 20. Kucharczyk O. 2. Kucharczyk P. 23. Malec M. 76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 25. Sajdak P. 10. Wojtyra D.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Pogoń Siedlce will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
01.10.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 2
23.09.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:3 ✺
20.09.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Siedlce	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLTLW
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
30.09.23	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Skra Częstochowa - Polonia Warsaw	2:3 ET ✺
Polish Division 2
23.09.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Skra Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
15.09.23	Skra Częstochowa - Radunia Stężyca	1:1 ✺
08.09.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
08.05.21	Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2
14.11.20	Pogoń Siedlce - Skra Częstochowa	1:2
19.07.20	Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2
03.11.19	Pogoń Siedlce - Skra Częstochowa	2:0
11.05.19	Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1
27.10.18	Pogoń Siedlce - Skra Częstochowa	0:1

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