The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pogoń Siedlce 38.1%
Draw 27.8%
Stal Rzeszów 34.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
28.7%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
27.8%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Rzeszów Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 27. Barczak J. 14. Jakubik D. 4. Szur P. 2. Mis K. 31. Dzieciol E. 6. Kizyma M. 7. Szuprytowski D. 17. Marzec M. 56. Demianiuk C. 9. Rosolek M.
1. Vanivskyi S. (G) 21. Thiede M. (C) 3. Krasovskiy V. 2. Machura W. 77. Kukulka K. 15. Pukala S. 8. Goss S. 66. Leniart M. 27. Rittmuller M. 16. Brzek W. 76. Salamon S.
Substitutes
26. Kendzia F. 22. Klimek P. 21. Kobusinski S. 10. Makowski R. 16. Poczobut B. 72. Szczytniewski S. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 29. Trepka L. 95. Zielonka N.
44. Buksa A. 88. Koziol M. (G) 29. Listkowski M. 17. Madej O. 11. Masiak K. 19. Musik M. 10. Naifi A. 45. Wisniowski E.
Coaches
Nocon A.
Zub M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
27', Thiede M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Goss S. ⚽, Leniart M. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Krasovskiy V. ⚽, Pukala S. (A),
42', 0 - 3, Krasovskiy V. ⚽, Machura W. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Marzec M. ↓, Kobusinski S. ↑,
46', Brzek W. ↓, Naifi A. ↑,
46', Salamon S. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
48', 1 - 3, Dzieciol E. ⚽,
49', 2 - 3, Demianiuk C. ⚽,
54', Kobusinski S. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Pukala S. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
61', 2 - 4, Buksa A. ⚽, Rittmuller M. (A),
72', Thiede M. ↓, Madej O. ↑,
76', Kizyma M. ↓, Makowski R. ↑,
76', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
80', 3 - 4, Dzieciol E. ⚽,
86', Rosolek M. ↓, Szczytniewski S. ↑,
86', Barczak J. ↓, Klimek P. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 1.
In recent outings, Pogoń Siedlce has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Stal Rzeszów is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Stal Rzeszów could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Pogoń Siedlce has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:21 (averaging 1.6:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pogoń Siedlce against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:11 goals (averaging 1:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
S. Rzeszow
12
5
2
5
16:22
-6
17
11
Pogon Siedlce
12
4
3
5
14:15
-1
15
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Pogon Siedlce: 0.4% S. Rzeszow: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Stal Rzeszów - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 30.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Poland
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Lemanowicz J. (G) 
Vanivskyi S. (G) 
Thiede M. (C) 
Krasovskiy V. 
Goss S. 
Naifi A. 
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