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Current Win Probability
Pogoń Siedlce 47.4%
Draw 24.6%
Stal Rzeszów 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
26.3%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
25.7%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Siedlce's performance.
Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stal Rzeszów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Siedlce that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stal Rzeszów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Rzeszów Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 6. Flis M. 3. Dembek B. 4. Misiak P. 2. Mis K. 31. Dzieciol E. 11. Famulak M. 10. Drag M. 7. Szuprytowski D. (C) 56. Demianiuk C. 39. Rosolek M.
1. Vanivskyi S. (G) 2. Warczak P. 39. Kaczor M. 3. Krasovskiy V. 77. Kukulka K. 20. Kucharski J. 7. Lysiak K. 47. Madej O. 9. Masiak K. 10. Jonathan Junior (C) 25. Wolski F.
Substitutes
22. Klimek P. 26. Kolodziejski M. 19. Kozlowski O. 29. Niezgoda J. 16. Poczobut B. 9. Rybak A. 47. Swierczewski B. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 95. Zielonka N.
42. Brzek W. 91. Darwish S. 6. Jablonski D. 55. Kaczowka J. 45. Leniart M. 44. Pukala S. 4. Synos M. 31. Thill S. 50. Wolff F. (G)
Coaches
Nocon A.
Zub M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Rosolek M. 🟨,
38', Madej O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Flis M. (Own goal),
50', 0 - 2, Jonathan Junior ⚽,
61', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Rosolek M. ⚽,
65', Wolski F. ↓, Pukala S. ↑,
71', Madej O. ↓, Jablonski D. ↑,
75', Famulak M. 🟨,
75', Drag M. ↓, Poczobut B. ↑,
75', Demianiuk C. ↓, Kozlowski O. ↑,
80', Jonathan Junior ↓, Darwish S. ↑,
80', Masiak K. ↓, Kaczowka J. ↑,
80', Lysiak K. ↓, Leniart M. ↑,
86', Dzieciol E. ↓, Niezgoda J. ↑,
86', Mis K. ↓, Szczytniewski S. ↑,
90+1', Darwish S. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 1.
In recent matches, Pogoń Siedlce has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stal Rzeszów has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Stal Rzeszów may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Siedlce won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
Poland
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Lemanowicz J. (G) 
Vanivskyi S. (G) 
Krasovskiy V. 
Jonathan Junior (C) 
Darwish S. 
Thill S. 
Wolff F. (G) 
