Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin)

Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA


	Pogoń Szczecin		Korona Kielce

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3	Watch
	2.25	3.20	3.10
	2.25	3.2	3
	2.39	3.3	3.37
	2.35	3.2	3.24	Watch
	2.3	3	3.3
	2.2	3.4	3.02	Watch
	2.27	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.23)	3.21 ↑ (3.19)	3.13 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin
41%

Draw
29.2%

Korona Kielce
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Korona (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Cojocaru V. (G) 4. Riccio A. 13. Keramitsis D. 41. Szalai At. 23. Mendy B. 16. Dziczek P. (C) 6. Bieganski J. 21. Churlinov D. 35. Wojciechowski M. 18. Mukairu P. 22. Sanchez J.	1. Dziekonski X. (G) 71. Dlugosz W. 23. Rubezic S. 2. Mosor A. 6. Pieczek M. 35. Jakubczyk K. 18. Hellebrand P. 30. Mena C. 32. Lingr O. 19. Ameyaw M. 14. Stepinski M. (C)
Substitutes
3. Acosta K. 31. Botis N. (G) 10. Cuic F. 30. Czaplinski J. 98. Dabrowski K. (G) 20. Eichie I. 11. Grosicki K. 47. Lawa N. 9. Molnar R. 17. Nsame J. 75. Ossowski A. 29. Willen L.	99. Bak D. 67. Barczak N. 7. Blanik D. 22. Fassbender M. 86. Gustafson S. 87. Mamla R. (G) 11. Matuszewski K. 10. Nono 8. Remacle M. 24. Smolarczyk B. 44. Sotiriou K.
Coaches
Garcia O.	Zielinski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Riccio A. 🟨,
21', Garcia O. 🟨,
36', Wojciechowski M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Wojciechowski M. ⚽, Mukairu P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Lingr O. ↓, Remacle M. ↑,
56', Stepinski M. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
73', Churlinov D. ↓, Grosicki K. ↑,
73', Sanchez J. ↓, Nsame J. ↑,
83', Bieganski J. ↓, Acosta K. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Mukairu P. ⚽, Nsame J. (A),
88', Mena C. ↓, Blanik D. ↑,
88', Hellebrand P. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
90+1', Mendy B. ↓, Willen L. ↑,
90+1', Mukairu P. ↓, Eichie I. ↑,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Pogoń Szczecin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Pogoń Szczecin is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Pogoń Szczecin: Molnar R. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye M. (Muscle Injury) Pozo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wahlqvist L. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pogoń Szczecin has recorded 8 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:17 (averaging 1.3:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pogoń Szczecin against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:7 goals (averaging 1.6:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Pogon Szczecin	10	6	3	1	15:6	9	21
9	Korona Kielce	10	4	3	3	12:12	0	15

Last Results with these Odds

Pogoń Szczecin - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.1%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Korona Kielce - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.52%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Udinese	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.26	Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Wieczysta Kraków	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
03.09.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWTL
- Korona Kielce
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce	5:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.09.26	Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa	3:2 ✺
15.09.26	Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Korona Kielce	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Korona Kielce - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
16.03.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce	2:1
13.09.25	Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0
09.12.24	Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin	0:0
20.07.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce	3:0
17.03.24	Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin	2:2
16.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce	3:1
18.03.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce	0:0

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