Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 12

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Resovia Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.7	3.5
	1.85	3.75	3.4
	1.91	3.8	3.54
	1.86	3.82	3.76
	1.8	3.7	3.4
	1.79	3.76	3.64	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.12)	3.75 ↑ (3.28)	3.52 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
49.8%

Draw
24.3%

Resovia Rzeszów
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.6%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's performance.

Resovia Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resovia Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Resovia Rzeszów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sydorenko D. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 5. Dias M. 16. Gajgier A. 10. Jaron D. (C) 13. Lis J. 21. Los K. 15. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 23. Sommerfeld K.	1. Tetyk J. (G) 17. Adamski R. 2. Bondarenko M. 38. Bukhal G. 9. Gorski M. 25. Jaroch G. 99. Kanach R. 27. Pavlas D. 22. Rebisz K. 14. Urynowicz M. 6. Wasiluk B. (C)
Substitutes
19. Bahonko E. 26. Cierpial J. 11. Dziegielewski D. . Gulczynski G. 12. Kalinowski D. (G) 4. Korczakowski I. 17. Niewiadomski J. 6. Skowronski G. . Urbanski P.	20. Bak R. . Chuchro K. 24. Eizenchart B. . Gliwa M. (G) 10. Hebel M. 15. Kotecki D. 97. Mikrut F. 8. Pieniazek D. 4. Szymocha K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Gorski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Jaron D. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Korczakowski I. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Korczakowski I. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
29.09.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Division 2
21.09.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TWWTT
- FC Resovia Rzeszów
Polish Division 2
29.09.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Olimpia Elbląg	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Lech Poznań	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
22.09.24	Hutnik - Resovia Rzeszów	3:2 ✺
13.09.24	Resovia Rzeszów - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Resovia Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 TWLWW

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