Match Info

POLAND: Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie (Rzeszow)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport


	Resovia Rzeszów		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
				Watch
	10.5	6.25	1.18
	10.69	6.42	1.19
	12.14	6.38	1.21
	12	6	1.17
	12.2	6.25	1.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.51 ↑ (8.8)	6.26 ↑ (5.2)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resovia Rzeszów
8%

Draw
14.6%

Lech Poznań
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

17.9%

71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.3%

17.4%

73.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resovia Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lech Poznań's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resovia Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Resovia Rzeszów - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Gliwa M. (G) 20. Bak R. 4. Szymocha K. 38. Bukhal G. 17. Adamski R. 6. Wasiluk B. 22. Rebisz K. 25. Jaroch G. 10. Hebel M. 27. Pavlas D. 97. Mikrut F.	35. Bednarek F. (G) 20. Hoffmann I. 3. Douglas A. 16. Milic A. (C) 55. Pingot M. 33. Loncar S. 24. Jagiello F. 43. Kozubal A. 8. Gholizadeh A. 17. Szymczak F. 19. Fiabema B.
Substitutes
2. Bondarenko M. 3. Czapniewski G. 24. Eizenchart B. 9. Gorski M. 99. Kanach R. 15. Kotecki D. 8. Pieniazek D. 1. Tetyk J. (G) 14. Urynowicz M.	50. Ba Loua A. 15. Gurgul M. 56. Lisman K. 90. Monka W. 41. Mrozek B. (G) 22. Murawski R. 2. Pereira J. 7. Sousa A. 10. Walemark P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Hebel M. ⚽, Jaroch G. (A),
37', Adamski R. 🟨,
38', Pingot M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Loncar S. ↓, Murawski R. ↑,
46', Hoffmann I. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
56', Fiabema B. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
57', Jagiello F. 🟨,
60', Rebisz K. ↓, Eizenchart B. ↑,
60', Mikrut F. ↓, Gorski M. ↑,
63', Jagiello F. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
70', Bak R. ↓, Kanach R. ↑,
71', Pavlas D. 🟨,
75', Hebel M. ↓, Urynowicz M. ↑,
77', Sousa A. 🟨,
77', Pingot M. ↓, Gurgul M. ↑,
81', Adamski R. 🟨,
85', Gliwa M. 🟨,
90+2', Gurgul M. 🟨,
90+5', Pavlas D. 🟥,
90+6', Wasiluk B. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Resovia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lech is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Lech is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Resovia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Resovia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Resovia Rzeszów
Polish Division 2
22.09.24	Hutnik - Resovia Rzeszów	3:2 ✺
13.09.24	Resovia Rzeszów - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Resovia Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:3 ✺
24.08.24	Polonia Bytom - Resovia Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWTL
- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.09.24	Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	5:0 ✺
30.08.24	Stal Mielec - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Lech Poznań	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
29.10.19	Resovia Rzeszów - Lech Poznań	0:4

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