Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów		Wieczysta II

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	2.70
	2.24	3.44	2.66
	2.23	3.61	2.73	Watch
	2.20	3.40	2.60
	2.17	3.72	2.85	Watch
	2.4	3.38	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)	3.49 ↑ (3.38)	2.66 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
40.3%

Draw
25.8%

Wieczysta II
33.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

24.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Wieczysta II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta II than the current prediction. (+1%)

Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów - Wieczysta II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Chromych J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 16th in the Relegation).

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Lubaczów could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	14	4	4	6	14:17	-3	16
17	Lubaczow	14	3	2	9	14:26	-12	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.10.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	JKS Jarosław - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Busko-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Czarni Połaniec - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- Wieczysta Kraków II
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
03.10.26	Wieczysta II - Wiślanie Skawina	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Wieczysta II	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Wieczysta II - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wieczysta II	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Wieczysta II - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.10.26	Star Starachowice - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	✺
- Wieczysta Kraków II
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.10.26	Wieczysta II - Wisła II Kraków	✺

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wieczysta II