Match Info

EUROPE: EURO - QUALIFICATION - PROMOTION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 21 March 2024, Thursday

Location: PGE Narodowy (Warsaw)

Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Estonia	TV6
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Malaysia	Astro
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
Switzerland	SRF
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Poland		Estonia

	1	X	2
	1.18	7	15
	1.2	6.5	16
	1.18	7	21	Watch
	1.19	7.37	22
	1.18	7.37	17.65
	1.17	7	17
	1.22	6.45	13.5	Watch
	1.18	6.7	17.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.19)	6.92 ↑ (6.77)	17.46 ↑ (15.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland
80.7%

Draw
13.8%

Estonia
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.8%

14.1%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Estonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Poland - Estonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 98 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 91 - 92.9%). Estonia will win (votes: 7 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poland: 87.8% – 98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Szczesny W. (G) 5. Bednarek J. 3. Dawidowicz P. 14. Kiwior J. 19. Frankowski P. 10. Zielinski P. 18. Slisz B. 6. Piotrowski J. 21. Zalewski N. 7. Swiderski K. 9. Lewandowski R. (C)	12. Hein K. (G) 15. Klavan R. 16. Tamm J. 18. Mets K. (C) 13. Paskotsi M. 19. Kallaste K. 7. Soomets M. 10. Vetkal M. 17. Tamm A. 21. Palumets K. 9. Jurgens O.
Substitutes
16. Bochniewicz P. 15. Buksa A. 22. Bulka M. (G) 2. Cash M. 11. Grosicki K. 8. Moder J. 23. Piatek K. 4. Puchacz T. 13. Romanczuk T. 17. Salamon B. 12. Skorupski L. (G) 20. Szymanski S.	6. Ainsalu M. 8. Anier H. 5. Hussar K. 1. Igonen M. (G) 2. Kuusk M. 4. Laur K. 11. Lepik M. 3. Pikk A. 20. Poom M. 23. Sinyavskiy V. 14. Tougjas E. 22. Vallner K. A. (G)
Coaches
Probierz M.	Haberli T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Paskotsi M. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Frankowski P. ⚽, Piotrowski J. (A),
27', Paskotsi M. 🟨,
31', Tamm A. ↓, Hussar K. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Frankowski P. ↓, Cash M. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Zielinski P. ⚽, Zalewski N. (A),
56', Cash M. ↓, Puchacz T. ↑,
60', Puchacz T. 🟨,
67', Kallaste K. ↓, Pikk A. ↑,
67', Palumets K. ↓, Poom M. ↑,
67', Jurgens O. ↓, Lepik M. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Piotrowski J. ⚽, Lewandowski R. (A),
73', Swiderski K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
73', Zielinski P. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
73', Piotrowski J. ↓, Moder J. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Mets K. (Own goal), Zalewski N. (A),
77', 5 - 0, Szymanski S. ⚽,
78', 5 - 1, Vetkal M. ⚽, Soomets M. (A),
83', Soomets M. ↓, Ainsalu M. ↑,

Preview

In this match Poland is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Poland won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland
Friendly
21.11.23	Poland - Latvia	2:0 ✺
UEFA Euro
17.11.23	Poland - Czech Republic	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Poland - Moldova	1:1 ✺
12.10.23	Faroe Islands - Poland	0:2 ✺
10.09.23	Albania - Poland	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTTWL
- Estonia
Friendly
12.01.24	Sweden - Estonia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
19.11.23	Sweden - Estonia	2:0 ✺
16.11.23	Estonia - Austria	0:2 ✺
Friendly
17.10.23	Estonia - Thailand	1:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
13.10.23	Estonia - Azerbaijan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
15.08.12	Estonia - Poland	1:0

Poland - Estonia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide