Match Info

Premier League

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Rwanda	Magic Sports TV


	Police		APR

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.88	2.02
	4.34	2.78	1.94
	4.27	2.78	2.03	Watch
	3.9	2.75	1.95
	4.35	2.9	1.98
	3.4	2.62	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (2.44)	2.79 ↓ (2.82)	2.04 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police
22.7%

Draw
32.6%

APR
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

32.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.

APR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting APR's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APR than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for APR, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Police - APR Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. APR will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. APR (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - APR (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. APR (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

APR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

APR might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Police won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:26. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Police won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	APR	1	1	0	0	4:2	2	3
8	Police	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police FC Kibungo
Rwanda Premier League
13.02.26	Police - Rayon Sports	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Police - Kigali	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Kiyovu Sports - Police	0:0 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Merreikh - Police	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Police - Gorilla	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTTW
- APR FC
Rwanda Premier League
14.02.26	APR - Kiyovu Sports	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - APR	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Bugesera - APR	2:2 ✺
04.02.26	Gasogi United - APR	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	APR - Al-Merreikh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
06.12.25	APR - Police	0:0
Rwanda Peace Cup
30.04.25	APR - Police	1:0
15.04.25	Police - APR	1:1
Rwanda Premier League
02.03.25	Police - APR	1:3
04.12.24	APR - Police	1:1
Rwanda Super Cup
10.08.24	APR - Police	0:1 penalties
Rwanda Premier League
21.01.24	Police - APR	0:1

Police - APR: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide