Match Info

Premier League

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Amahoro (Kigali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Rwanda	Magic Sports TV


	APR		Al-Merreikh

	1	X	2
	1.82	2.92	4.45
	1.84	3.09	4.54	Watch
	1.83	2.9	4.2
	1.85	3.18	4.44	Watch
	1.76	3.14	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.91)	3.05 ↑ (3)	4.43 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APR
49.8%

Draw
29.7%

Al-Merreikh
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

30.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

28.7%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Al-Merreikh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APR than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

APR - Al Merreikh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 4).

APR is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Merreikh is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Merreikh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, APR is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	APR	1	1	0	0	4:2	2	3
14	Al-Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APR FC
Rwanda Premier League
14.01.26	Amagaju - APR	0:1 ✺
Rwanda Super Cup
10.01.26	APR - Rayon Sports	4:1 ✺
Rwanda Premier League
03.01.26	APR - Bugesera	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Muhanga - APR	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	APR - Gasogi United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW
- Al-Merreikh
Rwanda Premier League
11.01.26	Al-Merreikh - Mukura Victory Sports	1:1 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Merreikh - Police	1:1 ✺
05.01.26	Gasogi United - Al-Merreikh	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Muhanga - Al-Merreikh	0:0 ✺
24.12.25	Al-Merreikh - Musanze	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWTW

APR - Al-Merreikh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide