Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Muranga Seal		APS Bomet

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.82
	2.48	2.98	2.97
	2.46	2.9	2.93	Watch
	2.4	2.75	2.9
	2.46	2.77	2.99
	2.57	2.66	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.07)	2.84 ↓ (3.21)	2.92 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Muranga Seal
37%

Draw
31.9%

APS Bomet
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muranga Seal's form might have worsened.

APS Bomet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muranga Seal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Muranga Seal - APS Bomet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Muranga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Waithira J. (Penalty Awarded),
27', 1 - 1, Wasai P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 15).

Muranga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

APS Bomet has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Muranga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Muranga has had a series of away games.

Muranga could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Muranga will win today's game, with odds of 2.06.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Muranga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	APS Bomet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Muranga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
25.01.26	Ulinzi Stars - Muranga Seal	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Muranga Seal - Bidco United	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Gor Mahia - Muranga Seal	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Mathare United - Muranga Seal	0:2 ✺
22.12.25	Mara Sugar - Muranga Seal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWLWW
- APS Bomet FC
Kenyan Premier League
24.01.26	APS Bomet - Shabana	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	AFC Leopards - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	APS Bomet - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	APS Bomet - Tusker	0:1 ✺
16.12.25	Kenya CB - APS Bomet	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
28.09.25	APS Bomet - Muranga Seal	0:2
Kenyan Super League
24.07.22	APS Bomet - Muranga Seal	1:1

Upcoming Matches