Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	APS Bomet		Shabana

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.88	2.15
	3.32	2.94	2.16
	3.31	3.07	2.15	Watch
	3.3	2.7	2.15
	3.36	2.95	2.15
	3.33	2.9	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	2.91 ↓ (3.04)	2.15 (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APS Bomet
27.1%

Draw
31%

Shabana
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

30.1%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

29.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

APS Bomet - Shabana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Olega ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, ⚽,
65', 1 - 3, ⚽,
78', 🟥,
81', 2 - 3, ⚽,
82', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 4).

APS Bomet has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Shabana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Shabana has had a series of home games.

Shabana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, APS Bomet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Shabana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	APS Bomet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APS Bomet FC
Kenyan Premier League
17.01.26	AFC Leopards - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	APS Bomet - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	APS Bomet - Tusker	0:1 ✺
16.12.25	Kenya CB - APS Bomet	4:2 ✺
12.12.25	APS Bomet - Posta Rangers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLT
- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
17.01.26	Shabana - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Shabana - Gor Mahia	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Shabana - Nairobi United	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Kenya CB - Shabana	1:3 ✺
17.12.25	Shabana - Mara Sugar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
21.09.25	Shabana - APS Bomet	4:2

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