Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 12

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska		Stolem Gniewino

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.2	4.5
	1.53	4.22	4.46
	1.5	4.33	4.9	Watch
	1.55	4	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)	4.19 ↓ (4.5)	4.63 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
59%

Draw
21.5%

Stolem Gniewino
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

20%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

17.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Stolem Gniewino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polonia Środa Wielkopolska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stolem Gniewino than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stolem Gniewino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Stolem Gniewino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stolem Gniewino has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Polonia Środa Wielkopolska is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Polonia Środa Wielkopolska won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia Środa Wielkopolska won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.10.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:3 ✺
30.09.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Starogard Gdański	0:0 ✺
22.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:2 ✺
08.09.23	Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLT
- Stolem Gniewino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.10.23	Stolem Gniewino - Vineta Wolin	2:3 ✺
01.10.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Stolem Gniewino	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Stolem Gniewino - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:6 ✺
16.09.23	Sokół Kleczew - Stolem Gniewino	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Stolem Gniewino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.06.23	Stolem Gniewino - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1
19.11.22	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Stolem Gniewino	4:0
16.04.22	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Stolem Gniewino	1:3
08.09.21	Stolem Gniewino - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:4

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