Match Info
III Liga - Group II - Round 8Date: 11 September 2026, Friday
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Polonia Środa Wielkopolska |
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Unia Swarzędz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.5 |
4.2 |
4.75 |
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1.30 |
4.90 |
6.50 |
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1.44 |
4.10 |
4.63 |
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1.48 |
4.49 |
5.1 |
Watch |
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1.42 |
4.05 |
4.55 |
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1.41 |
4.30 |
6.24 |
Watch |
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1.42 |
4.2 |
5.3 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 (1.42) |
4.32 ↑ (4.2) |
5.3 (5.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Polonia Środa Wielkopolska 62.6% | Draw 20.6% | Unia Swarzędz 16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - under (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Bartkowiak B. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Slowinski W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 47', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 81', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+4', 4 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 3.Środa Wielkopolska is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).Unia Swarzędz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Środa Wielkopolska may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Środa Wielkopolska is the undeniable favorite.We predict that Środa Wielkopolska will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Środa Wielkopolska won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sroda | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 33:16 | 17 | 27 |
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| 11 | Unia Swarzedz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 13 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Polish Division 3 - Group II | | | 10.04.26 | Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz | 0:2 | | 19.09.25 | Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska | 0:2 | | 22.03.25 | Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz | 3:0 | | 24.08.24 | Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska | 2:0 | | 07.04.24 | Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz | 1:0 | | 08.09.23 | Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska | 1:1 | | 14.04.23 | Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz | 3:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;