Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Victoria Sulejówek		Wigry Suwałki

	1	X	2
	4.8	4	1.52
	5	4.1	1.53
	4.09	3.78	1.63
	4.47	4.02	1.62	Watch
	4.41	3.86	1.63	Watch
	5	4.1	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↓ (5.2)	3.98 ↓ (4)	1.58 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Sulejówek
19.6%

Draw
22.8%

Wigry Suwałki
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

22.6%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.5%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Sulejówek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Sulejówek than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Victoria Sulejówek - Wigry Suwałki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Sliwka K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 0, Rudnicki K. ⚽,
73', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Victoria Sulejówek is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wigry is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Wigry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wigry is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Sulejówek
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.09.24	Mławianka Mława - Victoria Sulejówek	5:2 ✺
21.09.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Wikielec	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Broń Radom - Victoria Sulejówek	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLTL
- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.09.24	Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Wigry Suwałki - Swit Skolwin	3:1 ET ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.09.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	0:3 ✺
14.09.24	Wigry Suwałki - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Wigry Suwałki	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWW

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