Match Info

Division 1 - Round 2

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Polonia Warsaw		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.4	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.25
	1.85	3.7	3.65	Watch
	2.04	3.72	3.5
	1.30	4.78	10.98	Watch
	2	3.5	3.1
	1.87	3.66	3.64
	2.23	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.27)	3.74 ↑ (3.18)	4.32 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
51.5%

Draw
26%

GKS Tychy
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polonia Warsaw's performance.

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GKS Tychy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Polonia Warsaw - GKS Tychy Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 73.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polonia Warsaw will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Kuchta M. (C) 22. Olszewski P. 30. Cisse S. 2. Grudniewski M. 5. Hoxhallari E. 16. Poczobut B. 17. Dadok R. 26. Gnaase D. 8. Wojciechowski O. 7. Vega D. 9. Zjawinski L.	1. Wechsel L. (G) 4. Lipkowski K. 3. Teclaw J. 5. Glogowski K. 37. Keiblinger J. 8. Szpakowski M. 15. Bieronski J. 11. Blachewicz M. 92. Kadzior D. 17. Niemann N. 19. Stangret M.
Substitutes
10. Bajdur M. 99. Durmus I. 21. Kapusta A. 11. Mlynski M. 44. Piotrowski B. 3. Salihu H. 1. Sandach A. (G) 90. Spiewak K. 19. Vasin N.	44. Baier N. 47. Jankowski B. 31. Kolotylo K. (G) 77. Kubik T. 21. Machowski K. 10. Makowski R. 20. Sanyang M. 90. Welniak K.
Coaches
Pawlak M.	Skowronek A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
19', Bieronski J. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
45+3', 1 - 1, Szpakowski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hoxhallari E. ↓, Durmus I. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Blachewicz M. ⚽, Bieronski J. (A),
63', Niemann N. ↓, Sanyang M. ↑,
63', Stangret M. ↓, Welniak K. ↑,
67', Zjawinski L. ↓, Spiewak K. ↑,
78', Gnaase D. 🟨,
80', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Kapusta A. ↑,
80', Dadok R. ↓, Bajdur M. ↑,
83', Kadzior D. ↓, Kubik T. ↑,
83', Glogowski K. ↓, Stefansson O. ↑,
85', Szpakowski M. 🟨,
87', Gnaase D. ↓, Vasin N. ↑,

Preview

GKS Tychy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Polonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, GKS Tychy has had a series of home games.

Polonia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
20.07.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.25	Korona Kielce - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
29.05.25	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Polonia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLTL
- GKS Tychy
Club Friendly
20.07.25	GKS Tychy - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:5 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.07.25	GKS Tychy - Miedź Legnica	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	GKS Tychy - Zbrojovka Brno	2:8 ✺
02.07.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
26.04.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Warsaw	1:1
20.10.24	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Tychy	2:1
08.12.23	GKS Tychy - Polonia Warsaw	1:0
22.07.23	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Tychy	2:3

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