Match Info

Division 1 - Round 3

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Referee: Malec P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play


	Polonia Warsaw		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.30	3.10
	2.10	3.30	3.00
	2.18	3.30	2.80
	2.14	3.56	3.46
	2.22	3.49	3.06	Watch
	2.05	3.40	3.35
	2.03	3.38	3.27
	2.09	3.25	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.17)	3.37 ↑ (3.36)	3.13 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
43.5%

Draw
27.2%

Ruch Chorzów
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Jelen M. (G) 22. Olszewski P. 29. Marcjanik M. 16. Budnicki J. 20. Olafsson D. 2. Kuusk M. 6. Gnaase D. (C) 17. Dadok R. 23. Skrabb S. 99. Durmus I. 9. Kostorz K.	44. Wrabel J. (G) 14. Wojcik F. 24. Komor A. 17. Lukic A. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 5. Rosol M. 18. Nagamatsu S. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 27. Laskowski K. 95. Szczepan D. 21. Szwedzik P.
Substitutes
15. Golos A. 21. Kapusta A. 27. Kowalczyk S. 10. Mroz M. 94. Paszkowski J. 72. Sandach A. (G) 24. Terpilowski E. 7. Vega D. 18. Ziolkowski K.	82. Bielecki J. (G) 11. Cieslak S. 15. Konczkowski M. 7. Kristan J. 29. Lachendro F. 22. Lipinski K. 88. Rostek K. 2. Wachowiak K.
Coaches
Stokowiec P.	Fornalik W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Lesniak-Paduch N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Szymanski S. ⚽,
65', Dadok R. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
65', Kuusk M. ↓, Kowalczyk S. ↑,
67', Kristan J. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Durmus I. ⚽, Vega D. (A),
75', Olszewski P. ↓, Terpilowski E. ↑,
79', Szczepan D. ↓, Cieslak S. ↑,
79', Laskowski K. ↓, Wachowiak K. ↑,
86', Durmus I. ↓, Paszkowski J. ↑,
86', Kostorz K. ↓, Kapusta A. ↑,
87', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Lachendro F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 2.

Polonia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Polonia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Warszawa: 6.76% Ruch Chorzow: 4.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14
11	Ruch Chorzow	9	3	3	3	9:11	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
01.08.26	Polonia Warsaw - Unia Skierniewice	3:1 ✺
26.07.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Polonia Warsaw - Zlín	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Warsaw	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
02.08.26	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
24.05.26	Znicz Pruszków - Ruch Chorzów	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Miedź Legnica - Ruch Chorzów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
21.02.26	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Warsaw	2:3
15.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	0:0
25.05.25	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Warsaw	1:1
24.11.24	Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.04.13	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Warsaw	2:1
21.10.12	Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	2:1
20.04.12	Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	0:1

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