Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 34

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska		Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	2.82
	1.96	5.14	2.58	Watch
	1.95	3.8	2.8
	1.95	3.82	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.87)	4.13 ↑ (3.68)	2.82 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
45.8%

Draw
22%

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

24.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Doba S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', (Penalty Awarded),
65', 1 - 1, Manikowski M. ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 1.

Recent performances by Środa Wielkopolska have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nowe Skalmierzyce is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Środa Wielkopolska is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Środa Wielkopolska won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sroda	11	8	3	0	33:16	17	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.05.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	4:0 ✺
13.05.26	Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:1 ✺
01.05.26	Wda Świecie - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL
- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.05.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Lech Poznań 2	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
13.05.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Lipno Stęszew	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Luzino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.11.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:2
17.05.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:1
18.10.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:0
03.05.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1
07.10.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:3
08.04.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:1
04.09.22	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:4

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