Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Ukraina Stadium (Lviv)

Referee: Paskhal I. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Karpaty Lviv		Poltava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	4.6	7
	1.19	6.1	12.5
	1.38	4.57	7.72
	1.00	1.50	1.00	Watch
	1.19	6.47	12.9	Watch
	1.53	3.95	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.55)	4.53 ↑ (4.05)	7.72 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karpaty Lviv
69%

Draw
19.5%

Poltava
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

22.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karpaty Lviv's performance.

Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Poltava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Karpaty Lviv - Poltava Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Karpaty (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Klishchuk A. (G) 28. Polegenko P. 3. Adamyuk V. 47. Jean Pedroso 11. Miroshnichenko D. (C) 8. Chachua A. 23. Alvarez P. 37. Bruninho 7. Paulo V. 10. Neves I. 26. Kostenko Y.	96. Yermolov D. (G) 19. Buzhyn M. (C) 5. Pidlepych V. 33. Veremiyenko O. 2. Kononov M. 8. Odaryuk V. 99. Khakhlyov O. 20. Misyura Y. 7. Galenkov D. 11. Onishchenko A. 88. Vivdych O.
Substitutes
9. Fabiano 17. Fedor O. 19. Karabin Y. 18. Klymenko V. 41. Kolesnyk A. (G) 95. Krasnopir I. 2. Kyrychok M. 80. Mysak R. (G) 25. Palacios D. 33. Shakh A. 21. Tanda P.	3. Khodulya I. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 1. Minchev M. (G) 39. Opanasenko Y. 12. Savenkov A. 16. Shevchenko Y. 10. Streltsov Y. 52. Zinyar G.
Coaches
Lupashko V.	Matviychenko P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Odaryuk V. ⚽, Kononov M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Pidlepych V. ↓, Opanasenko Y. ↑,
65', Kostenko Y. ↓, Fabiano ↑,
65', Neves I. ↓, Krasnopir I. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Fabiano ⚽, Miroshnichenko D. (A),
70', Veremiyenko O. 🟨,
75', Onishchenko A. ↓, Streltsov Y. ↑,
76', Chachua A. ↓, Fedor O. ↑,
83', Galenkov D. ↓, Kotsyumaka I. ↑,
83', Misyura Y. ↓, Khodulya I. ↑,
83', Opanasenko Y. ↓, Savenkov A. ↑,
85', Fabiano 🟨,
85', Khodulya I. 🟨,
89', Bruninho ↓, Shakh A. ↑,
89', Adamyuk V. ↓, Klymenko V. ↑,
90', Jean Pedroso 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

Karpaty has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, Karpaty is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Karpaty won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
29.08.25	Kudrivka - Karpaty Lviv	2:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Penuel - Karpaty Lviv	0:8 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
16.08.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Karpaty Lviv	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:3 ✺
03.08.25	Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTTL
- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
29.08.25	Poltava - Zorya Luhansk	1:4 ✺
17.08.25	Kudrivka - Poltava	3:1 ✺
08.08.25	Poltava - Veres Rivne	1:0 ✺
01.08.25	Rukh Lviv - Poltava	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
24.05.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Poltava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.04.24	Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	0:1
23.03.24	Karpaty Lviv - Poltava	2:1

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