Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Polvorín		Estradense

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.2
	3.15	3.1	2.19
	3.04	3.11	2.29	Watch
	3.12	3.22	2.29
	3.15	3.1	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.8)	3.11 ↓ (3.35)	2.23 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Polvorín
29.6%

Draw
29.4%

Estradense
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

27.4%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polvorín's performance.

Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estradense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polvorín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estradense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polvorín - Estradense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Rey J. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Rey J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Estradense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Estradense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Polvorín won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polvorín FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.03.25	Gran Peña - Polvorín	3:2 ✺
16.03.25	Polvorín - Somozas	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Polvorín - Villalonga	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Valladares - Polvorín	3:3 ✺
16.02.25	Polvorín - Arosa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWTL
- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.03.25	Estradense - RC Villalbes	4:1 ✺
16.03.25	Noia - Estradense	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Estradense - Viveiro	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Estradense - Alondras	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Silva SD - Estradense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
17.11.24	Estradense - Polvorín	2:1
28.01.24	Estradense - Polvorín	2:0
10.09.23	Polvorín - Estradense	0:0
03.04.22	Polvorín - Estradense	3:0
28.11.21	Estradense - Polvorín	0:1
24.11.19	Estradense - Polvorín	3:1

Polvorín - Estradense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide