Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Polvorín		Zamora

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.2
	3.05	2.95	2.3
	3	3	2.27
	3.29	3.01	2.26
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.35	3.18	2.08
	3	3.05	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.2)	3.02 ↓ (3.18)	2.22 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polvorín
29%

Draw
30.1%

Zamora
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polvorín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polvorín's form might have worsened.

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zamora's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polvorín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zamora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Polvorín - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Polvorín is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zamora is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zamora will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polvorín FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.11.22	Langreo - Polvorín	1:2 ✺
29.10.22	Polvorín - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Burgos Promesas - Polvorín	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Polvorín - Compostela	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Marino de Luanco - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WTLWT
- Zamora CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.11.22	Zamora - Guijuelo	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Real Oviedo B - Zamora	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Langreo - Zamora	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	Zamora - Ourense CF	2:3 ✺
09.10.22	Burgos Promesas - Zamora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWTLW

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