Match Info

Date: 28 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Galvez Rascon D. (Esp)


	Eibar		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.8
	1.68	3.6	5.1
	1.63	3.7	5
	1.68	3.87	5.61
				Watch
	1.66	3.88	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)	3.75 ↑ (3.5)	5.17 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
56.9%

Draw
25%

Ponferradina
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26.2%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	2.9%	14.7%

Eibar - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: Eibar will win (28 of 34 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.53% – 95.17%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Eibar has the most likely position - 2 (8.5%), has project points - 66, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 13 (5.57%), has project points - 57, has currently - 6, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 35, small importance 27, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eibar won 1.

Eibar in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ponferradina have a series of guest games.

In this match Eibar is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Eibar to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
19.08.22	Villarreal B - Eibar	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	Eibar - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.22	Real Sociedad - Eibar	1:2 ✺
03.08.22	Eibar - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
30.07.22	Huesca - Eibar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWWWW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
22.08.22	Ponferradina - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
15.08.22	Cartagena - Ponferradina	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Burgos - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
03.08.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Ponferradina	7:1 ✺
30.07.22	Sporting de Gijón - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.03.22	Ponferradina - Eibar	2:2
22.08.21	Eibar - Ponferradina	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.15	Eibar - Ponferradina	4:0
03.12.15	Ponferradina - Eibar	3:0
Spanish LaLiga2
10.05.14	Eibar - Ponferradina	0:0
08.12.13	Ponferradina - Eibar	2:1

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