Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 3

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)


	Ponferradina		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.6
	2	2.75	4.25
	1.95	2.93	4.73
	2	3	3.7
	1.85	3.24	4.45
	2.01	2.95	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.01)	3.01 ↓ (3.22)	4.09 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
46.9%

Draw
30.6%

Sabadell
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

28.3%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Ponferradina - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 15. Leal A. 3. Jimenez N. 2. Diez A. (C) 16. Lozano M. 8. Llonch P. 22. Soto D. 11. Dacosta R. 18. Abelenda B.	13. Ortola A. (C) 23. Monroy P. 15. Amelibia J. 5. Resta P. 16. Herrero T. 8. Gualda A. 21. Callejon F. 10. Herrera C. 11. Astals D. 19. Garcia N. 9. Martinez M.
Substitutes
12. Claveria P. 5. Fernandez J. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 19. Lopez A. 21. Palanca 9. Vazquez A. 10. Yuri	14. Baselga M. 6. Beitia C. 3. Carrion J. 25. Costa M. 18. Farres B. 17. Kopotun V. 1. Leal F. (G) 4. Pujol R. 2. Sanchez A. 26. Sander Ballero

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1.

Ponferradina in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Sabadell is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Sabadell have a series of guest games.

In this match Ponferradina is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.09.23	Sestao - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Atlético Astorga - Ponferradina	0:2 ✺
15.08.23	Ponferradina - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Bembibre - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.09.23	Sabadell - Osasuna B	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	Real Unión de Irun - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.23	Ibiza - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Badalona Futur - Sabadell	3:2 ✺
29.07.23	Olot - Sabadell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.21	Sabadell - Ponferradina	2:0
01.11.20	Ponferradina - Sabadell	0:3
22.02.15	Ponferradina - Sabadell	3:0
20.09.14	Sabadell - Ponferradina	1:0
26.01.14	Sabadell - Ponferradina	1:1
25.08.13	Ponferradina - Sabadell	2:0
09.03.13	Sabadell - Ponferradina	0:3

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