Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Pontardawe Town		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	2.3	4.33	2.3
	2.33	4.05	2.33
	2.26	4.5	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.2)	4.29 ↓ (4.75)	2.3 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontardawe Town
39.4%

Draw
21.1%

Cwmbran Celtic
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

19%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

18.5%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontardawe Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Morris M. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Meechan T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 2 - 1, Morris M. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Hinwood J. ⚽,
73', Batcup I. 🟨,
81', 2 - 3, Bonthron A. ⚽,
87', 3 - 3, Dorward J. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Pontardawe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pontardawe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontardawe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
29.03.24	Llanelli - Pontardawe Town	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Pontardawe Town - Trefelin	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	Taffs Well AFC - Pontardawe Town	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Pontardawe Town - Abertillery Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Pontardawe Town - Goytre United	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWTT
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
29.03.24	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:4 ✺
16.03.24	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	1:1 ✺
13.03.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Llanelli	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Baglan Dragons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
16.09.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontardawe Town	4:4
26.11.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontardawe Town	6:0
29.08.22	Pontardawe Town - Cwmbran Celtic	3:4

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