Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 26

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday


	Taffs Well AFC		Pontardawe Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.2	4
	1.64	4.27	3.8
	1.64	4.28	3.8
	1.64	4.25	3.99
	1.67	4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.75)	4.2 ↑ (3.75)	3.89 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taffs Well AFC
55.1%

Draw
21.6%

Pontardawe Town
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

23.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taffs Well AFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Pontardawe Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Taffs Well has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pontardawe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Taffs Well could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Taffs Well have a series of guest games.

Recently Pontardawe have a series of home games.

In this match Taffs Well is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Taffs Well won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Taffs Well won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
02.03.24	Carmarthen Town - Taffs Well AFC	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Caerau Ely - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 ✺
23.02.24	Taffs Well AFC - Llantwit Major	2:2 ✺
16.02.24	Llanelli - Taffs Well AFC	3:1 ✺
10.02.24	Baglan Dragons - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
02.03.24	Pontardawe Town - Abertillery Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Pontardawe Town - Goytre United	4:4 ✺
10.02.24	Pontardawe Town - Afan Lido	2:3 ✺
02.02.24	Ammanford - Pontardawe Town	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Pontardawe Town - Caerau Ely	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
28.08.23	Pontardawe Town - Taffs Well AFC	1:3
29.04.23	Pontardawe Town - Taffs Well AFC	5:2
26.08.22	Taffs Well AFC - Pontardawe Town	4:1

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