Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 27

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Pontardawe Town		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.94	2.85
	1.97	3.94	2.85
	2.02	3.9	2.94
	1.99	3.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.99)	3.91 ↓ (4.01)	2.89 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontardawe Town
45.5%

Draw
23.1%

Trefelin
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

22.7%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

20.5%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontardawe Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 11).

Recent matches Pontardawe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trefelin is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Trefelin have a series of home games.

Pontardawe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pontardawe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontardawe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
08.03.24	Taffs Well AFC - Pontardawe Town	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Pontardawe Town - Abertillery Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Pontardawe Town - Goytre United	4:4 ✺
10.02.24	Pontardawe Town - Afan Lido	2:3 ✺
02.02.24	Ammanford - Pontardawe Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTLL
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
08.03.24	Trefelin - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Llantwit Major - Trefelin	3:1 ✺
27.02.24	Trefelin - Ammanford	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Trefelin - Baglan Dragons	1:1 ✺
02.02.24	Trefelin - Llanelli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
19.08.23	Trefelin - Pontardawe Town	1:5
10.04.23	Pontardawe Town - Trefelin	2:1
24.09.22	Trefelin - Pontardawe Town	5:0

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