Match Info

Cymru South - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Llantwit Major		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.35	8.1
	1.36	4.6	7.29
	1.35	4.61	8.73	Watch
	1.33	4	8
	1.3	4.45	9.55
	1.33	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)	4.39 ↑ (3.8)	8.2 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llantwit Major
68.2%

Draw
20.7%

Cwmbran Celtic
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.2%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llantwit Major has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llantwit Major's performance.

Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cwmbran Celtic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llantwit Major (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bevan J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, Larcombe A. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Goldsworthy C. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, Gauci C. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 2.

Cwmbran Celtic's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Llantwit Major is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Llantwit Major won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Llantwit Major	8	2	1	5	7:20	-13	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
30.01.26	Carmarthen Town - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Cardiff Draconians - Llantwit Major	2:0 ✺
05.12.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Llantwit Major	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Llantwit Major - Afan Lido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLTW
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
30.01.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Cardiff Draconians	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
02.01.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Treowen Stars	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Newport City - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
12.04.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:0
22.02.25	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1
16.03.24	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	1:1
19.08.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	2:1
11.03.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:2
13.08.22	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	0:2
30.04.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	0:5

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