Match Info

Cymru South - Round 19

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Richmond Park (Carmarthen)


	Carmarthen Town		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.95	8.4
	1.21	6.44	11.74
	1.18	5.5	13
	1.25	5.1	9.5
	1.17	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.27)	5.6 ↑ (5.22)	10.73 ↑ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmarthen Town
75.2%

Draw
16.3%

Cwmbran Celtic
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

17.4%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Thomas L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 2 - 0, Reffell K. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Hinwood J. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Larcombe A. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carmarthen Town won 4.

Carmarthen Town is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cwmbran Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carmarthen Town is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carmarthen Town won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Carmarthen Town won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 3.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Carmarthen Town	9	4	2	3	20:19	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
01.01.26	Aberystwyth Town - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cambrian United - Carmarthen Town	3:0 ✺
28.11.25	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
22.11.25	Carmarthen Town - Colwyn Bay	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLTL
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
02.01.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Treowen Stars	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Newport City - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Ynyshir Albions - Cwmbran Celtic	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	7:0 ✺
31.10.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
26.07.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	0:4
08.02.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	1:0
07.01.25	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	3:1
29.03.24	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	3:0
12.08.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	0:1
28.01.23	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	4:3
22.10.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	3:5

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