Match Info

Cymru South - Round 29

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Ammanford		Newport City

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.15	4.75
	1.53	4.69	4.7
	1.58	4.1	5.2	Watch
	1.5	4.2	4.5
	1.5	4.5	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)	4.33 ↑ (3.83)	4.77 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ammanford
59.8%

Draw
21.1%

Newport City
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

23.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ammanford's performance.

Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Ammanford - Newport City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, John D. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, John D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Davies O. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 0, Euros G. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 7).

Ammanford has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Newport City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ammanford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ammanford is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ammanford will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ammanford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ammanford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Newport City	7	2	2	3	10:6	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
28.03.26	Treowen Stars - Ammanford	1:5 ✺
24.03.26	Ammanford - Cambrian United	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Ammanford - Baglan Dragons	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Llantwit Major - Ammanford	2:3 ✺
06.03.26	Ammanford - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWWW
- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
28.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Newport City	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Newport City - Treowen Stars	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Ynyshir Albions - Newport City	4:0 ✺
09.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Newport City	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
01.11.25	Newport City - Ammanford	0:0
01.03.25	Ammanford - Newport City	1:2
26.07.24	Newport City - Ammanford	3:1

Upcoming Matches