Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 21

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday


	Pontardawe Town		Cambrian United

	1	X	2
	3.6	4	1.75
	3.3	3.94	1.8
	3.3	3.94	1.8
	3.62	4.04	1.8
	3.5	4	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.8)	3.98 ↓ (4)	1.78 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontardawe Town
26.2%

Draw
22.8%

Cambrian United
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

22.7%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

23.6%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontardawe Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontardawe Town's form might have worsened.

Cambrian United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambrian United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Reed L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
75', 0 - 2, Eason L. ⚽,
87', 0 - 3, Reed L. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cambrian & Clydach will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pontardawe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontardawe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
13.04.24	Caerau Ely - Pontardawe Town	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Pontardawe Town - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Pontardawe Town - Cwmbran Celtic	3:3 ✺
29.03.24	Llanelli - Pontardawe Town	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Pontardawe Town - Trefelin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTLL
- Cambrian United
Welsh Cymru South
01.04.24	Taffs Well AFC - Cambrian United	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Cambrian United - Abertillery Bluebirds	5:2 ✺
16.03.24	Cambrian United - Caerau Ely	2:2 ✺
08.03.24	Afan Lido - Cambrian United	2:5 ✺
02.03.24	Cambrian United - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
07.10.23	Cambrian United - Pontardawe Town	0:2

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