Match Info

Cymru South - Round 1

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Llanelli		Newport City

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.60	2.45
	2.37	3.75	2.48
	2.45	3.63	2.59	Watch
	2.30	3.70	2.45
	2.35	3.60	2.44
	2.32	3.55	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.85)	3.64 ↑ (3.5)	2.48 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Llanelli
38.5%

Draw
24.9%

Newport City
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llanelli's form might have worsened.

Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newport City's recent form is better than expected.

Llanelli - Newport City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Johnson S. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Bevan L. ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, Johnson S. ⚽,
37', 1 - 3, Johnson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 4, Bregua E. ⚽,
89', Hall J. 🟨,

Preview

Llanelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Llanelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Llanelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Newport City	7	2	2	3	10:6	4	8
16	Llanelli	10	0	2	8	7:27	-20	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Haverfordwest County - Llanelli	8:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.04.26	Haverfordwest County - Llanelli	6:0 ✺
03.04.26	Llanelli - Bala Town	0:5 ✺
28.03.26	Flint Town United - Llanelli	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Llanelli - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LLLWL
- Newport City FC
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Newport City - Newport County	0:5 ✺
26.06.26	Cambrian United - Newport City	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Newport City - Trefelin	0:5 ✺
03.04.26	Ammanford - Newport City	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Newport City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
24.01.25	Newport City - Llanelli	1:2
04.10.24	Llanelli - Newport City	2:3

Upcoming Matches