Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 4

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Ponte Preta		Anápolis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	3.8	7.25
	1.38	3.9	8.2	Watch
	1.41	3.91	10.05
	1.44	3.74	9.68	Watch
	1.4	3.6	9.5
	1.37	3.74	9.8	Watch
	1.38	3.9	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)	3.8 ↑ (3.6)	8.95 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
65.6%

Draw
24.1%

Anápolis
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

25.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponte Preta's performance.

Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anápolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Ponte Preta - Anápolis Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ponte Preta (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 15. Artur 21. Dudu 10. Elvis 18. Emerson Santos 7. Jean Dias 17. Jonas Toro 25. Lucas Candido 2. Maguinho 37. Serginho 34. Wanderson	1. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Andre 10. Denner 99. Douglas 2. Fabio 29. Igor Cassio 5. Joao Afonso (C) 21. Kadu 6. Rafael Verrone 28. Samuel 4. Victor Oliveira
Substitutes
26. Concha V. 14. Danilo Barcelos 35. Diego Tavares 29. Everton Brito 99. Gustavo Vintecinco 9. Jeh 20. Joao Gabriel 55. Leo Oliveira 27. Luiz Felipe 30. Matheus Kayser (G) 5. Rodrigo Souza 6. Sergio Raphael	90. Ezequiel 53. Gabriel (G) 41. Joao Borim 11. Natan Bahia 20. Neto Acara 15. Pedro Thomaz 32. Rafael Mineiro 33. Renan Cocao 22. Rubinho
Coaches
Alberto Valentim	Angelo Luiz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Jonas Toro ⚽,
38', Kadu 🟨,
43', Artur 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Dudu ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Jonas Toro ↓, Jeh ↑,
57', Jean Dias ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
68', Artur 🟨,
69', Kadu ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
71', Elvis ↓, Leo Oliveira ↑,
71', Serginho ↓, Danilo Barcelos ↑,
74', Joao Borim 🟨,
78', Dudu ↓, Joao Gabriel ↑,
81', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 16).

Anápolis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ponte Preta is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	Confiança - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Ponte Preta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Figueirense - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Concórdia - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.02.25	Ponte Preta - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTLL
- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie C
28.04.25	Anápolis - Floresta	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Anápolis - Ituano	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	CS Alagoano - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
30.03.25	Vila Nova - Anápolis	3:0 ✺
23.03.25	Anápolis - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTLW

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