Match Info

Date: 11 November 2021, Thursday


	Ponte Preta		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.55
	2.7	2.8	2.6	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.85
	2.72	2.9	3.12
	2.5	2.88	2.9
	2.63	2.95	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.1)	2.89 ↓ (3.14)	2.83 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
35%

Draw
32.1%

Botafogo RJ
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

30.5%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

22.7%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponte Preta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.1%	50%	21.9%

Ponte Preta - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Botafogo will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.7% – 67.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Ponte Preta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
07.11.21	Ponte Preta - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
02.11.21	Goiás - Ponte Preta	2:2 ✺
30.10.21	Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Remo - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
16.10.21	Ponte Preta - Náutico Capibaribe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTTWL
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie B
07.11.21	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	0:4 ✺
03.11.21	Botafogo RJ - Confiança	1:0 ✺
26.10.21	Goiás - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
20.10.21	Botafogo RJ - Brusque	3:0 ✺
12.10.21	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
08.08.21	Botafogo RJ - Ponte Preta	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
20.08.17	Ponte Preta - Botafogo RJ	2:1
21.05.17	Botafogo RJ - Ponte Preta	2:0
26.11.16	Botafogo RJ - Ponte Preta	1:1
04.08.16	Ponte Preta - Botafogo RJ	2:0
28.09.13	Botafogo RJ - Ponte Preta	0:1
08.06.13	Ponte Preta - Botafogo RJ	0:2

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