Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 20

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 1
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Cruzeiro		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.90	4.33	Watch
	1.77	3.80	4.33
	1.74	3.85	4.40	Watch
	1.78	3.90	4.78
	1.75	3.61	4.62	Watch
	1.75	3.80	4.70
	1.78	4.03	4.48	Watch
	1.79	3.90	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.81)	3.85 ↑ (3.52)	4.52 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
54.2%

Draw
24.7%

Botafogo RJ
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

26.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 50%). Botafogo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Otavio Costa (G) 23. Fagner 15. Fabricio Bruno 34. Jonathan Jesus 27. Rojas G. 29. Romero L. (C) 7. Matheus Henrique 11. Marquinhos 9. Bruno Rodrigues 17. Sinisterra L. 19. Kaio Jorge	17. Warleson (G) 2. Vitinho 34. Justino G. 5. Ferraresi N. 13. Alex Telles (C) 75. Huguinho 6. Medina C. 10. Montoro A. 8. Danilo Santos 11. Matheus Martins 19. Arthur Cabral
Substitutes
99. Arroyo K. 38. Felipe Morais 43. Joao Marcelo 2. Kaua Moraes 51. Lamounier V. (G) 57. Lelis R. 16. Lucas Silva 40. Rhuan Gabriel 25. Villalba L. 94. Wanderson 12. William Furtado 5. Ze Lucas	14. Barrera J. 37. Barria K. 88. Edenilson 12. Gabriel Batista (G) 79. Jales do Nascimento L. E. 59. Kauan Toledo 21. Marcal 33. Monzon L. 29. Paulinho 4. Ponte M. 23. Rodriguez S. 77. Villalba Jaume L. M.
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Carvalho F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Warleson 🟨,
35', Huguinho 🟨,
39', Sinisterra L. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Justino G. ⚽, Alex Telles (A),
45+3', Fagner 🟨,
45+4', Ferraresi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Jonathan Jesus 🟨,
60', Fabricio Bruno ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
60', Marquinhos ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
69', Danilo Santos ↓, Kauan Toledo ↑,
77', Fagner ↓, William Furtado ↑,
77', Rojas G. ↓, Kaua Moraes ↑,
82', Montoro A. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
82', Arthur Cabral ↓, Barria K. ↑,
88', Alex Telles 🟨,
90', Alex Telles ↓, Marcal ↑,
90', Matheus Martins ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
90+4', Barria K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3.

Cruzeiro has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Botafogo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cruzeiro is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Cassio (Knee Injury) Gerson (Yellow Cards) Matheus Pereira (Yellow Cards) Ze Lucas (Transfer negotiations)

There will not play in Botafogo: Junior Santos (Foot Injury) Kaio Pantaleao (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Gabriel Pec (Injury)

We predict that Cruzeiro will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 9 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 0.9:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Cruzeiro	29	14	6	9	44:40	4	48
13	Botafogo RJ	29	9	8	12	42:47	-5	35

Last Results with these Odds

Cruzeiro - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.31%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
22.07.26	Internacional RS - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.26	Grêmio - Cruzeiro	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Cruzeiro - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
31.05.26	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.26	Cruzeiro - Barcelona Guayaquil	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWTW
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
23.07.26	Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Botafogo RJ - Santos	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Dynamo Moscow - Botafogo RJ	Canceled ✺
04.07.26	CSKA Moscow - Botafogo RJ	Canceled ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.05.26	Bahia - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TW??L

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
29.01.26	Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro	4:0
04.12.25	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	2:2
03.08.25	Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro	0:2
27.07.24	Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro	0:3
14.04.24	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	3:2
03.12.23	Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro	0:0
06.08.23	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	0:0

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