Match Info

Date: 3 November 2021, Wednesday


	Botafogo RJ		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4	7
	1.44	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.5	3.85	6
	1.53	3.92	7.78
	1.47	3.75	7
	1.5	4.1	6.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)	3.9 ↓ (4.39)	6.84 ↓ (7.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
62.7%

Draw
23.8%

Confiança
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

21.4%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

12.2%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-24.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo RJ that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Confiança could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Botafogo RJ - Confiança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Botafogo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Botafogo is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie B
26.10.21	Goiás - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
20.10.21	Botafogo RJ - Brusque	3:0 ✺
12.10.21	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
08.10.21	Botafogo RJ - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
02.10.21	Botafogo RJ - Avaí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTWL
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
30.10.21	Confiança - Londrina	0:2 ✺
22.10.21	Guarani - Confiança	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.10.21	Confiança - Souza PB	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
16.10.21	Confiança - Avaí	3:1 ✺
09.10.21	Vitória Salvador - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.07.21	Confiança - Botafogo RJ	0:1

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