The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Goiás 32.4%
Draw 29%
Botafogo RJ 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
29.4%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
28.1%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
25%
62.5%
Goiás - Botafogo RJ Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Botafogo will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 38.8% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
Goiás has the most likely position - 20 (19.17%), project points - 37, currently - 3, a good chance of relegated (58%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Botafogo has the most likely position - 2 (11.13%), project points - 64, currently - 15, a very small chance of relegated (2%), a small chance of win league (9%).
This event has quality46, importance35, match rating40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 3.
Recent matches Goiás is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Botafogo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Goiás could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Botafogo have a series of home games.
Botafogo will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Goiás: Gabriel Novaes
(Injury)
Luiz Filipe
(Injury)
There will not play in Botafogo: Breno
(Knee Injury)
Danilo
(Injury)
Fernandez R.
(Injury)
Kayque
(Injury)
Patrick de Paula
(Injury)
Rafael
(Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Goiás won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.
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