Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 15

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Rio Claro		Comercial SP

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.95	2.15
	3	2.9	2.3
	2.86	2.91	2.55
	3.02	3.08	2.39	Watch
	3.15	2.95	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.68)	2.96 ↓ (3)	2.33 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Claro
29.8%

Draw
30.9%

Comercial SP
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.7%

30.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

30.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Claro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Claro's performance.

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comercial SP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Claro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comercial SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Rio Claro - Comercial SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rio Claro will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Comercial SP will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Claro is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Comercial SP is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Comercial SP will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rio Claro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
04.03.23	EC Noroeste - Rio Claro	2:1 ✺
01.03.23	Linense - Rio Claro	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Rio Claro - São Caetano	3:1 ✺
18.02.23	Rio Claro - Piracicaba	0:2 ✺
15.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Rio Claro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
04.03.23	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
01.03.23	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Comercial SP - Velo Clube	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	São Caetano - Comercial SP	1:2 ✺
15.02.23	Atlético Monte Azul - Comercial SP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.02.14	Comercial SP - Rio Claro	1:2

Rio Claro - Comercial SP