Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Comercial SP		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.9
	4	3.1	1.85
	4.25	3.14	1.86
	4.15	3.34	1.87	Watch
	3.8	3.15	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↓ (4.1)	3.17 ↑ (3.13)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comercial SP
22.7%

Draw
28.8%

Ponte Preta
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

29%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

28%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Comercial SP - Ponte Preta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Comercial SP is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponte Preta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ponte Preta have a series of guest games.

In this match Ponte Preta is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Comercial SP won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Comercial SP won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.03.23	Rio Claro - Comercial SP	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
01.03.23	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Comercial SP - Velo Clube	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	São Caetano - Comercial SP	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLWW
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.03.23	Ponte Preta - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
07.03.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
04.03.23	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Ponte Preta	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
25.02.23	EC Lemense - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
04.03.23	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.02.14	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	0:1

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