Match Info

Date: 14 August 2021, Saturday


	Ponte Preta		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	2.7	4
	2.04	2.8	3.8	Watch
	2.06	2.8	4
	2.15	2.92	4.41
	2.1	2.9	3.7
	2.1	3.14	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.96)	2.88 ↓ (3.19)	3.95 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
44.3%

Draw
32.2%

Confiança
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

29.6%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

19.5%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponte Preta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Confiança could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ponte Preta - Confiança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Recent matches Ponte Preta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Confiança is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Confiança could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ponte Preta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
11.08.21	Ponte Preta - Londrina	2:1 ✺
08.08.21	Botafogo RJ - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
01.08.21	CRB Maceio - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
23.07.21	Ponte Preta - Goiás	2:1 ✺
20.07.21	Vitória Salvador - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTWL
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
10.08.21	Confiança - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
07.08.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Confiança	0:4 ✺
31.07.21	Brusque - Confiança	3:0 ✺
24.07.21	Confiança - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
20.07.21	Londrina - Confiança	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.12.20	Confiança - Ponte Preta	1:2
27.09.20	Ponte Preta - Confiança	2:1

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