Match Info

Serie B - Round 9

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: Gomes T. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Ponte Preta		Londrina

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.85	3.6	Watch
	2.2	2.98	3.45	Watch
	2.35	3.05	3.69
	2.23	3.07	3.46	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.4
	2.24	2.96	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.21)	2.95 ↓ (3.08)	3.51 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
41.7%

Draw
31.7%

Londrina
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

30.3%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponte Preta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Londrina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Ponte Preta - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Londrina will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 2. Julio 33. David Braz 44. Marcio Silva 13. Diego Porfirio 8. Andre Lima 38. Tarik 14. Danilo Barcelos (C) 7. Diego Tavares 9. Willian Pottker 18. David da Hora	30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 13. Andre Dhominique 22. Caio Rodrigues 15. Gabriel Lacerda 6. Rafael Monteiro 8. Lucas Marques (C) 5. Andre Luiz 96. Thalis 7. Vitinho Mota 9. Bruno Santos 11. Iago Teles
Substitutes
10. Elvis 35. Gustavo Telles 19. Jonathan Cafu 32. Kevyson 3. Lucas Cunha 11. Luis Phelipe 17. Miguel Morais 23. Palacios S. 5. Rodrigo Souza 90. Rodriguinho 30. Vinicius Ferrari (G) 15. Weverton	17. Andre Cardoso 55. Caio Rafael 20. Fabiano 32. Joao Tavares 99. Joao Vitor 77. Juninho 21. Kaue Leonardo 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 18. Paulinho Moccelin 2. Weverton
Coaches
Remedio G.	Rogerio Micale

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Iago Teles ⚽, Bruno Santos (A),
35', Tarik 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', David da Hora ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
46', Tarik ↓, Elvis ↑,
52', Julio 🟨,
65', Willian Pottker ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
65', Julio ↓, Luis Phelipe ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Bruno Santos ⚽, Thalis (A),
69', Miguel Morais 🟨,
70', Thalis ↓, Joao Tavares ↑,
72', David Braz 🟨,
76', Lucas Marques 🟥,
78', Danilo Barcelos 🟨,
80', Vitinho Mota ↓, Andre Cardoso ↑,
80', Iago Teles ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
80', David Braz ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
83', Andre Dhominique ↓, Kaue Leonardo ↑,
83', Rafael Monteiro ↓, Weverton ↑,
86', Diego Tavares 🟨,
88', 0 - 3, Andre Cardoso ⚽, Bruno Santos (A),
90+3', 0 - 4, Joao Tavares ⚽, Paulinho Moccelin (A),
90+4', 1 - 4, Miguel Morais ⚽, Diego Tavares (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 3.

In recent matches, Ponte Preta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Londrina has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Londrina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ponte Preta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Bryan Borges (Yellow Cards) Murilo (Inactive)

There will not play in Londrina: Gilberto (Inactive) Kevyn (Inactive) Yago Lincoln (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Londrina: Caio Rafael (Inactive) Heron (Injury) Wallace (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28
20	Ponte Preta ✔	32	3	4	25	17:68	-51	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	Ponte Preta - Sport Recife	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	São Bernardo - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
24.04.26	Ponte Preta - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Avaí - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWWL
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
12.05.26	Londrina - São Bernardo	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Juventude - Londrina	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Londrina - Ceará	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Londrina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
25.10.25	Ponte Preta - Londrina	2:0
18.10.25	Londrina - Ponte Preta	0:0
30.08.25	Ponte Preta - Londrina	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
25.08.23	Ponte Preta - Londrina	1:0
14.05.23	Londrina - Ponte Preta	3:0
23.09.22	Londrina - Ponte Preta	0:2
11.06.22	Ponte Preta - Londrina	1:2

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